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KAMUELA, HAWAII -- Expect a million women a year to be seeking care for pelvic floor disorders by the year 2030.
That's just a conservative estimate of the number of consultations for urinary incontinence, intrinsic sphincteric deficiency, and pelvic organ prolapse that can be expected as the population ages, Kaiser Permanente researcher Karl Luber said.
He based his figures on a comprehensive review of 2,072 women seeking care for pelvic floor disorders in a stable health maintenance organization over 24 months, extrapolated to reflect population changes predicted by U.S. Census Bureau data.
The results were startling, with a projected rise in consults from 600,000 annually in 2000 to an estimated 1 million in the year 2030.
That's an increase of 45% even though the overall population is expected to grow only 22%, he said at the annual meeting of the Pacific Coast Obstetrical and Gynecological Society.
The need for care will be greatest among women aged 60-99 years; in this population 81% more consults for pelvic floor disorders are anticipated.
"This is going to be a huge part of our practices in the next 30 years," said Dr. Luber, director of urogynecology and reconstructive pelvic surgery at the Southern California Permanente Medical Group in San Diego.
Source: HighBeam Research, Sharp Increase in Consults for Pelvic Floor Disorders Expected.