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Despite foreign policy success, Bush faces domestic danger in re-election bid.

Knight Ridder/Tribune News Service

| May 01, 2003 | Goldstein, David | COPYRIGHT 2003 Knight-Ridder/Tribune News Service. This material is published under license from the publisher through the Gale Group, Farmington Hills, Michigan.  All inquiries regarding rights should be directed to the Gale Group. (Hide copyright information)Copyright

Byline: David Goldstein

WASHINGTON _ As President Bush basks in the Iraq victory, this is the question in political circles: Will the glow linger through the upcoming election or will history repeat itself?

Like his father, the 41st president, Bush has gained a significant foreign policy success in the year before he runs for re-election. And like his father, he enjoys strong popularity for his achievement.

The elder Bush's public approval ratings reached 90 percent after the 1991 Persian Gulf War. His son's popularity, while not as stratospheric, hovers comfortably in the low 70s.

What is unknown is whether the economy will be the snake in this president's political Eden, as it was for his father.

"Even before this war, polls clearly showed people were more concerned about the economy than Iraq," said John Mueller, an expert on presidents, wars and public opinion, at Ohio State University.

Bush could be in trouble, Mueller said, "if he has to ...

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