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WASHINGTON _ The president's popularity is soaring, he has co-opted several of the opposition's key issues and in the midst of a recession, his party gets higher marks for being able to manage the economy.
Can it get any worse for the Democrats?
Possibly.
Republicans have also begun chipping away at one of the bedrocks of Democratic strength: women voters.
In April, Democrats had an eight-point lead among women on party identification and a 10-point lead on the generic congressional ballot, according to Celinda Lake, a Democratic pollster.
But that was before Sept. 11. The wave of patriotism, coupled with a continuing concern over terrorism, and the huge spike in President Bush's approval rating has scrambled the political calculus.
Women are now evenly split on party identification and on which party they favor in a generic congressional ballot, according to last month's bipartisan Battleground 2002 Poll by Lake and Republican pollster Ed Goeas.