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Byline: Ted Cornwell
Santa Ana, CA-While many advocates of streamlined loan modifications are scratching their heads over data showing a high "redefault" rate on modified loans, one industry insider isn't all that surprised.
Some executives, including John Daurio, CEO of Kondaur Capital, are skeptical about the prospects for mass loan modifications. Kondaur, a buyer and servicer of scratch-and-dent loans based in Santa Ana, Calif., pioneered "Combat Loss Mitigators," whereby a single collection specialist handles every stage of the resolution of each loan.
Mr. Daurio is more pessimistic than some about the prospects for a housing market recovery, predicting that nationally home prices will fall another 20% to 30% under pressure from rising unemployment and a weakening economy. He still believes the country faces two to three more years of falling home values before markets stabilize.
Already, he noted that in addition to high "redefault" rates on modified loans, many borrowers are defaulting on products such as pay-option loans before they adjust to become fully amortizing. In other words, they are defaulting before their monthly payment adjusts upward.
Rather than ditching the loan contracts and modifying the loans to make them more affordable, he believes refinancing borrowers who can afford to stay in their homes into more affordable loan ...
Source: HighBeam Research, Scratch & Dent Expert Skeptical About Mods.