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When the subprime mortgage meltdown started to be felt, many economists predicted that housing markets would stabilize in 2009 and begin to recover in 2010. Now, while most prognosticators are still hoping for that scenario to be realized, many are hedging their bets. An increasing number of experts believe that home values will not stabilize until at least late 2009 and perhaps not until 2010, and that means the mortgage servicing industry will continue to face heightened default pressure even as lenders try to clear real estate-owned off their books from the loans that have already landed in foreclosure.
Already, there are signs that the industry faces more tough sledding in 2009. The widely followed S&P/Case-Shiller home price index showed home values nationally fell 16% from the prior year in the third quarter of 2008. Likewise, Freddie Mac, based on its home-purchase-only data, estimated that home values fell 7.2% nationally during the third quarter from one year earlier. While that is more modest than the Case-Shiller data, it was still ...