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SOMETIME AFTER the Soviet Army had crushed the Dubcek regime in Prague in 1968, our great Cold War warrior, Frank Knopfelmacher, was described by his opponents in condescending and patronising tones as a "threat expert". Vietnam had fallen and the USA was in disarray, the Soviet empire was marching from success to success, and Soviet apologists in Australia were increasingly confident about the future. Knopfelmacher embraced the term with enthusiasm. "Yes," he replied, "I am indeed a threat expert," and went on to recount the story of his escape from Czechoslovakia as a teenager just before the Nazi takeover in 1938; and then how, having returned to Czechoslovakia after the war, he was forced to use the proceeds from selling his family's property (he was the only survivor) to bribe his way out after the communist takeover in 1948. He was, through firsthand experience, a highly qualified threat expert.
In recent years another Czech threat expert has been sounding the trumpet for freedom. Vaclav Klaus was born in Prague in 1941 and became an outstanding student in economics, graduating from the University of Economics in Prague in 1963. He was allowed to study abroad in Italy in 1966 and in the USA in 1969, where he came under the influence of Milton Friedman. In 1968 he was awarded his PhD from the Institute of Economics of the Czech Academy of Sciences. From 1970 until 1987 he was kept under wraps in the State Bank of Czechoslovakia, but after the successful uprising of November 1989 he was appointed Federal Minister of Finance, and he became Prime Minister in June 1992. In February 2003, and again in February 2008, he was elected President of the Czech Republic.
The presidency is a non-executive role and so Vaclav Klaus has been able to immerse himself in the global warming debate. He has written a book entitled Blue, Not Green Planet, published in Czech last year and due out in English translation (as Blue Planet in Green Shackles) in the USA this May. He has spoken regularly on the issue at home and abroad. In February 2007 he was interviewed by a Prague journalist who took him to task for his refusal to accept the global warming thesis now hegemonial throughout Europe. Klaus was very blunt: "Global warming is a false myth and every serious person and scientist says so."
His constant theme is the threat which the "warmists", as he describes them, pose to freedom. Here is a characteristic Klausian description of this threat:
Global warming hysteria has become
a prime example of the truth-versus-propaganda
problem. It requires courage to oppose the
"established" truth, although a lot of people--including
top-class scientists--see the issue of
climate Change entirely differently. They protest
against the arrogance of those who advocate the
global warming hypothesis and relate it to human
activities.
As someone who lived under communism for
most of his life, I feel obliged to say that I see the
biggest threat to freedom, democracy, the market
economy and prosperity now in ambitious
environmentalism, not in communism. This
ideology wants to replace the free and spontaneous
evolution of mankind by a sort of central (now
global) planning.
In the paper President Klaus gave at the Heartland Institute conference held in New York in March, attended by more than 500 highly qualified people in climate science, economics and public policy, he concluded with these comments:
As a politician who personally experienced
communist central planning of all kinds of human
activities, I feel obliged to bring back the already
almost forgotten arguments used in the famous
plan-versus-market debate in the 1930s in economic
theory (between Mises and Hayek on the one side
and Lange and Lerner on the other); the arguments
we had been using for decades until the moment of
the fall of communism. The innocence with which
climate alarmists and their fellow travellers in
politics and media now present and justify their
ambitions to mastermind human society belongs to
the same fatal conceit. To my great despair, this is
not sufficiently challenged, neither in the field of
social sciences, nor in the field of climatology. The
social sciences, especially, are suspiciously silent.
The climate alarmists believe in their own
omnipotency; in knowing better than millions of
rationally behaving men and women what is fight
or wrong. They believe in their own ability to
assemble all relevant data into their Central Climate
Change Regulatory Office equipped with huge
supercomputers, and in the possibility of giving
adequate instructions to hundreds of millions of
individuals and institutions and in the non-existence
of an incentive problem (and the resulting
compliance or non-compliance of those who are
supposed to follow these instructions).
We have to restart the discussion about the very
nature of government and about the relationship
between the individual and society. Now it
concerns the whole of mankind, not just the citizens
of one particular country. To discuss this means to
look at the canonically structured theoretical
discussion about socialism (or communism), and to
learn the uncompromising lesson from the
inevitable collapse of communism eighteen years
ago. It is not about climatology. It is about freedom.