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Washington -- The default rate on subprime mortgage loans hit 19.4 % in October, more than double the rate from a year ago, and it is going to go higher, according to Friedman Billings Ramsey.
The default rate on non-agency securitized subprime mortgages has jumped from 9.1% in October 2006 to 19.4% in the space of 12 months.
Since July, the default rate has gone up 5 percentage points. From September to October, the default rate jumped 170 basis points. FBR managing director Michael Youngblood attributes the acceleration in defaults to weakening labor markets and falling housing prices.
"These substantial changes in a single month suggest that labor market conditions are worsening broadly across the United States. Indeed, we continue to believe that these conditions are characteristic of a recession in economic activity," he says in the Jan. 4 report. The managing director of ...