AccessMyLibrary provides FREE access to over 30 million articles from top publications available through your library.
Create a link to this page
Copy and paste this link tag into your Web page or blog:
New York -- The Detroit area tops the list of the highest risk markets, according to First American CoreLogic Inc.'s most recent Core Mortgage Risk Monitor.
The CMRM is a quarterly publication tracking an economic index that forecasts the relative risk of residential mortgage loan delinquencies due to fraud propensity and collateral risk, house price dynamics and the health of the local market economy. An elevated Core Mortgage Risk Index signals the increased potential for financially disruptive and costly economic consequences for consumers, their local community and mortgage financiers.
Right behind the Detroit area as the highest risk market is Memphis, followed by the Warren-Troy-Farmington Hills, Mich., area.
The top 10 riskiest markets among all 379 markets monitored have an average appreciation rate of 2.9%, with five of the markets at less than 2% appreciation. These high-risk markets also exhibit higher-than-average unemployment, lower-than-average wage growth and higher-than-average fraud and collateral risk.
Relative to the base period of 1Q02, the 2Q07 Core Mortgage Risk Index is holding relatively steady, posting a slight increase of 6%, bringing the index back to the base period level. The moderation of the index in recent quarters is driven by continued moderation in house prices, relatively stable economic health at the national level and stabilization in fraud and collateral risk.
According to CoreLogic, as house prices stabilize, the industry is entering a transitional period where the risks associated with rising delinquencies and foreclosures can have a concentrated and contagious impact on local markets. CoreLogic's Fraud and Collateral Risk Index is stabilizing at a relatively high level not reached in recent years, while its Foreclosure Index is expected to continue rising despite relatively unchanged employment conditions and a stabilization of house prices.
Overall, the CMRM data reveal continued turbulence in the residential real estate sector that is affecting local economies across the country.
Source: HighBeam Research, CoreLogic Reveals Detroit Area as Riskiest Market in Latest Report.