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With a minimum of fanfare and virtually no media attention, the U.S. government's Centers for Disease Control (CDC) has released its latest abortion surveillance report for the year 2003. The 33-page report strongly indicates that the number of abortions, as well as abortion rates and ratios, continue to drop to levels not seen since the early days after Roe.
CDC figures always have to be understood in context. Neither California nor New Hampshire has reported abortions to the CDC since 1997, and West Virginia is missing from the latest count. In addition, because the CDC receives datarather than actively seeking data out, as does the Alan Guttmacher Institute (AGI) its numbers will always be lower than the real totals.
Those weaknesses notwithstanding, statistical information gained by the CDC's annual survey is highly useful for spotting patterns and trends.
The total number of abortion reported to the CDC for 47 reporting areas1 in 2003 was 839,713nearly six thousand fewer than the number the CDC found in 47 reporting areas in 2002. (The national abortion number is believed to be closer to 1.29 million, the estimate coming from the AGI, which surveys abortion clinics in all fifty states directly rather than relying on state health departments.)
But whether one relies on figures from AGI or the CDC, the trend lines are definitely pointing down.
As we look to the future, there are other figures that are helpful. The CDC also calculates the abortion rate and the abortion ratio.
The abortion rate is the number of abortions per 1,000 women of reproductive age, defined as 15-44.
Source: HighBeam Research, Encouraging News from the CDC: Abortions Down Again in 2003.(Centers...