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World Abortion Estimates: An Audit Part I--What are the Numbers, and Where Do They Come From?

National Right to Life News

| February 01, 2003 | COPYRIGHT 2003 National Right to Life Committee, Inc. This material is published under license from the publisher through the Gale Group, Farmington Hills, Michigan.  All inquiries regarding rights should be directed to the Gale Group. (Hide copyright information)Copyright

Editor's note. This important but widely unreported aspect of the abortion debate requires extensive examination and much documentation. This series will run over the next several months and eventually be placed on NRLC's web page at www.nrlc.org.

Whenever there are special U.N. conferences, whenever there is a debate in Congress about aid to organizations that promote abortion overseas, at some point you're likely to hear someone assert that there are 30, 40, 50 million abortions a year (or more) in the world with tens of thousands of "abortion-related" or maternal deaths due to "unsafe abortions." Abortion's promoters argue that figures like these prove not only the need of more money for "family planning" (which includes abortion) but also the medical necessity to legalize abortion worldwide.

What is the source of such claims? And is there any solid statistical basis for these assertions? National Right to Life decided to try to track down the source of these claims and find out how and where the advocates of abortion got their numbers. It was not easy.

What we did discover is that there is an abundance of oft-times questionable assumptions and very often skimpy hard data to document the assertions. Not surprisingly the areas of the world with the most incomplete methods of tracking abortions and abortion complications are listed as having the most "unsafe" abortions and abortion deaths.

Estimates of "Unsafe" Abortions and Abortion Deaths

Check on different sites on the Internet and you'll see estimates of annual world abortions ranging from 20 million (Maryland Sierra Club) to 88 million (One World Supersite) abortions. Among the recent publications most commonly cited in academic studies or governmental literature, however, are the Alan Guttmacher Institute's Sharing Responsibility: Women Society & Abortion Worldwide (1999); Unsafe Abortion, a 1998 report from the World Health Organization (WHO); and two articles by Christopher Murray of Harvard and Alan Lopez of WHO that estimate worldwide mortality by cause, including abortion mortality.1

These sources put the number of annual world abortions at 46 million,2 with some 20 million of these officially deemed "unsafe." Both WHO and AGI estimate the number of maternal deaths associated with abortion at 78,000.3

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