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INVESTEC MANAGERS INDEX DECLINES IN FEBRUARY.

Asia Africa Intelligence Wire

| March 01, 2002 | COPYRIGHT 2002 Financial Times Ltd. This material is published under license from the publisher through the Gale Group, Farmington Hills, Michigan.  All inquiries regarding rights should be directed to the Gale Group. (Hide copyright information)Copyright

The seasonally adjusted Investec Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) declined by two index points to 53,8 in February, after the sharp overstated decline in January, it was announced on Friday. Portfolio manager at Investec Asset Management, John Stopford said while the figure remained above the critical level of 50 -- which indicates that the net majority of respondents reported an improvement in activity in February -- it suggested that the growth tempo in the sector has receded compared to the robust final quarter of last year. He said it was unlikely that the 5,6 percent annualised real growth rate in manufacturing gross domestic product in the fourth quarter of last year would be sustained over the near-term, as the latest PMI evidence suggested that temporary factors played a significant role in the buoyancy in domestic demand in the fourth quarter. Stopford said the domestic market faced key near-term risks related to the rand's plunge. These include the end of pre-emptive buying, price hikes, higher interest rates and fears of further hikes. "We do not foresee a sustained downturn, but expect the improvement in manufacturing activity to remain hesitant during the first half ...

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