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Arrears in Spain's rated mortgage-backed securities appear to have been inching upward, but overall the market has better loan performance statistics than its European neighbors, Moody's Investors Service has reported.
According to Moody's recent report on its new index for Spanish residential MBS, delinquency levels have risen to 0.3% in 2001 from 0.092% in 1998.
The rating agency notes that several factors and various trends factor into those statistics, among them its definition of arrears and the amount of seasoning in the deals that comprise its index, which covers all consistent RMBS deals rated by Moody's between 1994 and the last quarter of 2001.
Moody's said that uses the Bank of Spain's criteria for arrears, that is, "payments that have been overdue for more than 90 days since their due payment date." The rating agency bases this on the amount of total debt remaining to maturity and has removed transactions it considers to be not indicative of overall trends from its index. Such aberrant transactions include, for example, deals in which arrears data is reported in ways other than in terms of 90-days-plus delinquencies.
As far as the amount of seasoning in deals, Moody's believes this is a factor in the deterioration in performance because arrears normally peak during the third year of a deal's life.
...Source: HighBeam Research, Despite Rise in Late Payments, Spain Outperforms Neighbors.(Brief...