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The nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office (CBO) announced on August 26th that the fiscal year 2004 federal budget deficit will be an estimated $480 billion, and that deficits could total $5 trillion over the next 10 years. Since March, "the budget outlook has worsened substantially," the agency's report forcefully declared. This represents a sharp turn-around from last year's CBO forecast of a $1 trillion surplus for the 2003-2012 fiscal period, and is far below the 10-year, $5.6 trillion surplus the agency predicted in 2001.
The CBO also confirmed its earlier estimate that the federal budget deficit for the fiscal year ending this September 30th (fiscal year 2003) will be $401 billion, smashing the previous record of $290 billion, set in 1992.
The 10-year forecast is based primarily on the cost of three programs that President Bush and Congressional Republicans broadly support:
* making all tax cuts of the past three years permanent;
* enacting a new prescription drug program for senior ...