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At a glance: worldwide credit conditions.(Illustration)
At a glance: worldwide credit conditions.
Fay Hansen
ECONOMIC GROWTH
GDP % change from previous quarter
Q1 02 Q2 02 Q3 02 Q4 02
U.S. 1.2 0.3 1.0 0.2
Canada 1.5 1.2 0.8 -
Mexico 0 1.6 1.8 -
EU 15 0.4 0.4 0.4 -
Germany 0.3 0.2 0.3 -
UK 0.1 0.6 0.8 0.3
France 0.6 0.4 0.2 -
Japan 0 1.0 0.7 -
Sources: Eurostat (www.europa.eu.int); Instituto Nacional
(www.inegi.gob.mx).
U.S. BANKRUPTCY RATES
Number of bankruptcy petitions filed in federal courts and % change from
previous quarter
Q2 01 400,394 (28.2%)
Q3 01 359,518 (-10.2%)
Q4 01 366,841 (2.0%)
Q1 02 379,012 (3.3%)
Q2 02 400,686 (5.7%)
Q3 02 401,306 (1.6%)
Source: Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts (www.uscourts.gov).
[GRAPH OMITTED]
U.S. Business Bankruptcies Year Ending Sept. 1998 47,125 1999 38,625 2000 36,065 2001 38,490 2002 39,091 Source: Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts (www.uscourts.gov).
[GRAPH OMITTED]
U.S. INFLATION
June July Aug. Sep. Oct. Nov. Dec.
U.S. consumer price index - .1 .1 .3 .2 .3 .1 .1
urban % change
Produce price index % change .2 -.2 0 .1 1.1 -.4 0
Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (www.bls.gov).
International Unemployment
Oct. 02 Nov. 02 Dec. 02
U.S. 5.7% 6.0 6.0
Canada 7.0 6.9 7.5
Japan 5.6 5.4 5.5
France 8.8 8.9 9.1
Germany 8.5 9.7 10.1
UK 5.3 5.2 3.1
Source: US Bureau of Labor Statistics (www.bls.gov).
U.S. INTEREST RATES
Q4 02 Q1 03 Q2 03 * Q3 03 *
Federal Funds 1.44 1.25 1.25 1.46
3 mo. T bill 1.34 1.18 1.22 1.50
6 mo. T bill 1.36 1.19 1.24 1.51
1 yr. T bill 1.55 1.51 1.59 1.83
2 yr. T note 1.92 1.99 2.23 2.46
10 yr. T note 4.03 4.21 4.39 4.54
Source: Federal Reserve (www.frb.gov).
* Forecast by National City Corp. (www.nationalcity.com).
INTERNATIONAL INTEREST RATES
Short-term rates (3-mo. interbank rates or 3-mo.CDs or T bills)
8/02 9/02 10/02 11/01 12/02
U.S. 1.73 1.76 1.73 1.39 1.34
Canada 2.93 2.90 2.87 2.82 -
Mexico 7.07 7.82 8.23 7.83 -
Japan 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.05 0.4
Euro zone 3.35 3.31 3.26 3.12 -
UK 3.92 3.93 3.90 3.91 -
Long-term rates (secondary market yields on ...
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Source: HighBeam Research, At a glance: worldwide credit conditions.(Illustration)