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The new Republican government in Washington will find it easier to accomplish great things if it can draw new constituencies to its agenda. Here's my suggestion for a perfect place to start. It offers Congress and the President a chance to solve two serious public problems in a single blow.
Problem Number One is the economic damage wrought by the 9/11 terror attacks. New York City in particular was zapped--to the tune of as much as $95 billion in lost wealth, 146,000 lost jobs, and a $6 billion deficit looming for 2003, according to the city comptroller. For obvious reasons, the politicians most worried about this are liberal Democrats like Hillary Clinton and Manhattanite Charles Rangel, top Democrat on the House Ways and Means Committee. But there are stakes in this for all Americans: After all, New York was damaged in an act of war. And if the city falls into a financial crisis, as is now distinctly possible, that could drag down the entire national economy.
Problem Number Two is the looming bankruptcy of our Social Security system. In little more than a dozen years, Social Security will start to gush red ink--to the tune of tens, and then hundreds, of billions of dollars. Without bold reform, we'll either have to hike payroll taxes by 50 percent, or cut benefits by over a quarter. The sooner we get started on a fix, the less painful the financial math will be.
A very different set of politicians is pushing for Social Security reform. In the last election it was Republicans like Elizabeth Dole, Jim Talent, Norm Coleman, John Sununu, and Lindsey Graham who promised new personal investment accounts that would let future recipients tap the power of long-term investing. Democrats kicked and screamed.
Of course, the Big Daddy of advocates for personal investment accounts within Social Security is President Bush. He ran prominently on that issue in 2000, and one of his early acts as President was to set up a commission under Pat Moynihan and the current CEO of AOL Time Warner to further promote the idea. Mr. Bush would love to update Social Security as his great legacy to American social history.
Which leads directly to my magic plan: The possibility of personal Social Security accounts mobilizes Republicans. New York's urban financial crunch motivates Democrats. So why don't we connect those ...