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Russia withers.(Other Countries)

The American Enterprise

| June 01, 2004 | Lehrer, Eli | COPYRIGHT 2004 The American Enterprise, a national magazine of politics, business and culture (TEAmag.com). This material is published under license from the publisher through the Gale Group, Farmington Hills, Michigan.  All inquiries regarding rights should be directed to the Gale Group. (Hide copyright information)Copyright

Nicholas Eberstadt, "The Emptying of Russia," AEI On the Issues, February 2004 (aei.org)

Russian birth rates had tumbled even before the Soviet Union began to fall apart. Coupled with a death rate matched only in the Third World, this has sent the Eurasian giant's population into a steep decline. Recovering, writes AEI demographer Nicholas Eberstadt, may not be easy.

At the Soviet Union's dissolution in 1992, Russia had 149 million residents. Today, the population is 145 million and falling. Although this 3.1 percent decline is not the world's largest, all the other countries with similar declines saw either mass emigration or violent upheaval. Russia saw neither, instead combining exceptionally low birth rates with massive death rates.

The demographic implications are startling. While Italy, which is often cited as Exhibit A in Europe's low birth rate crisis, has 103 deaths for every 100 live births, Russia has 170 deaths for every 100 live births.

A variety of circumstances make things even worse. Russian infertility rates are the ...

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Source: HighBeam Research, Russia withers.(Other Countries)

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