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The arc of instability.

Asia Africa Intelligence Wire

| June 01, 2004 | COPYRIGHT 2004 Financial Times Ltd. This material is published under license from the publisher through the Gale Group, Farmington Hills, Michigan.  All inquiries regarding rights should be directed to the Gale Group. (Hide copyright information)Copyright

(From Arabies Trends)

The Americans came to Iraq with a clear military strategy, but without an equally precise vision of the countryOs political future. And that has led to disaster, argues Gareth Smyth.

Across the long history of Iraq, the Tigris and Euphrates have remained constants, flooding each

year between April and June, too late for winter crops and too early to ensure the summer

harvest. But the flow of these rivers ETH when channeled into systems of irrigation ETH made

possible in this hot, dry climate the flowering of a civilization rivaled in antiquity only by

Egypt. When the infrastructure of water was neglected, as under Persian occupation in the 5th

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