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The delinquency rate on Federal Housing Administration loans is higher than the subprime mortgage delinquency rate for the first time, according to data collected by the Mortgage Bankers Association.
As of Dec. 31, 12.23% of FHA-insured loans were at least 30 days past due, up 10 basis points from the third quarter. By contrast, the seasonally adjusted delinquency rate for subprime loans declined 110 basis points to 11.59% at the end of last year.
Moreover, the percentage of FHA loans in the foreclosure process rose from its third quarter record high to set a new record at 2.93%, as industry sources expressed concern about the impact of adverse-selection on the FHA insurance pool.
In a rare bright spot for the FHA, the percentage of loans entering the foreclosure process during the fourth quarter decreased seven basis points to 0.91%, according to the MBA.
Doug Duncan, chief economist of the MBA, said a number of factors have contributed to the deterioration in FHA credit quality, as well as the improvement registered in the MBA's increasingly robust subprime loan database.
In a conference call with reporters, Mr. Duncan said the FHA's credit quality has suffered from advances in private sector underwriting that have allowed conventional lenders to compete for loans that may have gone to the FHA in the past. Automated underwriting has been a key factor in this development.
"Some of the better customers are not ever making it into the FHA pools," he said.