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(From Canberra Times)
T HE COMMON wisdom that it's better to bat first if you win the toss in Test cricket has been debunked by a new statistical analysis.
Sports statistician Professor Stephen Clarke and PhD student Paul Allsopp, of the Swinburne University of Technology in Melbourne, report their analysis in a study to be published in the Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A.
''In Test cricket there's a general feeling that if you win the toss you should bat,'' Clarke said. ''But when you look at the past record, it shows that both home and away teams do better when they bat second than when they bat first.'' Clarke and Allsopp analysed the results of 151 Test matches between 1997 and 2001 and found that the team batting second won 49 per cent and lost only 26 per cent. The figures do not add up to 100 because there are a lot of draws in tests.
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