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(From Philippine Daily Inquirer)
Byline: Amando Doronila
BOTH Pulse Asia and Social Weather Stations have drawn up the class profile of voters based on their preferences in the May 10 presidential election. According to recent surveys of the two private groups, the main electoral base of actor Fernando Poe Jr. is composed of the poor or "masa" DE socioeconomic class.
The more important concern of this article is not whether President Macapagal-Arroyo has caught up with Poe. The purpose of this article, which goes beyond the more immediate question of who is likely to win the presidential election, is to examine the more unsettling political implication of elections being decided by the masa vote.
According to the SWS Jan. 16-22 survey, Poe polled 36 percent compared to Ms Macapagal's 29 percent in the D class. In the poorer E class, the gap was even wider-44 percent for Poe and 27 percent for the President. Ms Macapagal showed strength in the ABC class (middle to upper classes), where she polled 30 percent, compared with Poe's 23 percent. Former Education Secretary Raul Roco, who got 24 percent, split the ABC vote with the President.
According to statistical surveys, there are far more poor voters (at least 60 percent of voters come from the poor and masa classes) than voters from the middle and upper classes.
Pulse Asia's January-February survey showed Poe leading in the E class (39.3 percent) and in the D class (29.9 percent) compared to Ms Macapagal's 28.7 percent in the E class and 32.9 percent in the D class.