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John Makin, "A Sustainable U.S. Recovery?" AEI Economic Outlook, October 2003 (aei.org)
AEI scholar John Makin offers qualified pessimism in his assessment of the prospects for a sustained economic recovery for the U.S. in 2004. "Now, as in the fall of 2001, a disquieting exogenous shock--this time, the Iraqi conflict--has been followed by a large injection of tax cuts and government spending coupled with a highly accommodative Federal Reserve," he writes. These trends, in addition to a mortgage refinancing surge, have significantly buoyed the economy. Right after 9/11, rising stock prices and low interest rates created economic growth that quickly faded once businesses found that they faced large inventories, little pricing power, and rebounding interest rates. They didn't hire new employees, and the economy grew very slowly through ...
Source: HighBeam Research, Decaying economic orbit?(Economics And Regulation)(Brief Article)