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The conditions are ripe for running.(NFL)

The Sporting News

| December 01, 2003 | Baldinger, Brian | COPYRIGHT 2003 Sporting News Publishing Co. This material is published under license from the publisher through the Gale Group, Farmington Hills, Michigan.  All inquiries regarding rights should be directed to the Gale Group. (Hide copyright information)Copyright

There was a time when 1,000 rushing yards meant something. As recently as 1994, only 10 players reached that milestone. This season, seven players already have more than 1,000 yards, and the number could be 20 by the end of the season. The Ravens' Jamal Lewis has a shot at 2,000.

Rushing averages are soaring, too. Several of these guys are averaging almost 5 yards a carry or better. It used to be that if you got 4 yards a carry, you were a great back.

The glut of 1,000-yard runners is not a new phenomenon. Double-digit totals have been common since the '80s, and there have been at least 13 in each of the last eight seasons. Since 1978 (the year the NFL expanded from 14 to 16 games), a better benchmark for greatness probably is 1,400 yards--almost 90 per game.

I don't think the pendulum will start swinging the other way any time soon--especially with tackling seemingly getting worse all the time. If anything, the number will increase, even with the apparent growth of spread offenses.

You'd think that spread offenses primarily benefit quarterbacks and receivers, but when defenses are spread out, running backs have more open field to attack. The shift in the league lately, however, has been to pull those offenses back in. We're seeing more bunch formations, which provide a stronger wall in front of runners. And while plenty of alignments still feature four or more receivers, they tend to use base personnel. A running back would rather have a tight end in front of him than a 170-pound No. 4 receiver. The number of great tight ends in the league continues to grow, too, and that means better blocking on the edge.

It helps when defenses focus on stopping the pass. Teams say their first priority is stopping the run, but it isn't. If it were, you'd have bigger run stoppers on the field than 250-pound ends and 230-pound middle linebackers. Defenses also are using more zone blitzes in an attempt to generate a pass rush. If a team drops an end or tackle into coverage and you run at that ...

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