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(From Journal of Japanese Trade & Industry (JJTI))
For years, Japan has tried to get out of deflation and a protracted economic slump by increasing public spending. It is now changing course and is about to launch a tax hike initiative to extricate itself from the doldrums of its debt-ridden finances. The government has decided to halve the 1999 fixed-rate income tax cuts in FY 2005. In addition, debate on whether to raise the consumption tax from the present 5% is expected to start in a few years. Surprisingly, Japan has the worst fiscal situation among the G7 major economies. The balance of Japan's long-term debt at the national and local levels is projected to reach \774 trillion at the end of FY 2005, with the ratio of that balance to GDP standing at over 150%. This is in stark contrast to some 60% for the United States, which is now beleaguered with the twin budget and trade deficits. The ratio for Italy is about 120%, the second-worst among the G7 major economies. Japan's per-capita debt exceeds \6 trillion. Japan needs to continue paying \1 billion in government bond interest per hour despite extremely low domestic interest rates.
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