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(From Philippine Daily Inquirer)
Byline: Solita Collas-Monsod
(The following is based on a keynote speech, titled "A World of Change, a Constant World," which I delivered last month in Berlin at the first international conference of Community Foundations. It may be particularly appropriate at this time, when most everyone is not only making some kind of assessment of the current situation-the state of the present, the year that was-but also is wondering about what the future will bring.)
"UNCERTAIN" and "unpredictable" are adjectives that go hand in hand with "future." There are too many changes taking place in the world today, at a breathtaking pace, while at the same time, there seems to be a battle between two sets of forces: those that threaten people's lives, and those that improve them-forces of life and hope versus forces of death and despair. Thus, there is not one fated outcome, but rather many different possible or alternative futures, depending on how that battle or race is going.
Why, then, bother to think about the future? First, because at the very least, it helps us to prepare for whatever future comes, planning for contingencies, as it were. More importantly, it positions us to shape the future we prefer. As Peter Drucker said, the best way to predict the future is to create it.
The next logical question would be, even if we were to think about the future, why the future of the world? We have enough on our plates just thinking of the future of our own country, our own community.
Excellent point. However, I advance two reasons: in this day and age, global events inform the events in the smallest corner of the world, and what happens in one small area may have worldwide repercussions. The second reason is that whether we are thinking about our larger or smaller world, the line of reasoning is the same, and we can apply what we learn about one to the other.