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(From Reinsurance)
Risk Management Solutions (RMS) has announced the launch of a new platform for quantifying wind-related risk in 12 European countries.
Meteorological modelling has been extended to include a comprehensive suite of wind events, enabling loss calculations both from large-scale extra-tropical winter storms, such as windstorms Anatol, Lothar and Martin in 1999, as well as from smaller-scale summer thunderstorm events such as the Birmingham tornado in 2005. The model has also been extended to include Norway, Austria and Switzerland, allowing modelling from Ireland in the west across Scandinavia to Germany and Switzerland in the southeast.
A combination of numerical and parametric modelling is used to capture the intricate windfield structures typical of European windstorms. This modelling methodology also served to develop a full set of possible windstorm events with realistic tracks, frequency and severity distributions over a long-term simulation - essential for a fully probabilistic assessment of windstorm risk.
RMS has been evaluating the use of numerical modelling technology and its applicability to catastrophe modelling for several years, explains Dr Steve Jewson, head of the RMS climate hazards modelling team: "Numerical modelling is a highly powerful tool to help reconstruct past meteorological events at high resolution and understand the development and lifecycles of these complex events, while statistical ...