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Byline: John Powers
Aside from Munich, Walk the Line, and the woefully underappreciated In Her Shoes, 2005 was an uninspired year for high-end Hollywood films. Then again, the big studios actually own the boutique companies that made the good movies, too-Capote, Pride & Prejudice, Good Night, and Good Luck, and A History of Violence. All of these will win many accolades, but on Oscar night, the one to beat for Best Picture will be Brokeback Mountain. Here's the rule: Always put your Oscar money on the movie that makes people cry.
Predicting the Best Actress is a lot safer. You can make a case for fetching Keira Knightley or ardent Naomi Watts (who romanced a CGI ape, for crying out loud). But the sure winner is Reese Witherspoon, who has everything going: She is admired for her talent (people still rave about Election), makes Hollywood a lot of ...