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At a glance.(Worldwide Credit Conditions)
ECONOMIC GROWTH
GDP % change from previous quarter
Q3 03 Q4 03 Q1 04 Q2 04
U.S. 2.0 1.0 0.8 0.6
Canada 0.3 0.4 0.6 --
Mexico 0.4 1.2 1.3 --
EU 15 0.4 0.4 0.4 --
Germany 0.2 0.3 0.4 --
U.K. 0.8 0.8 0.6 0.8
France 0.4 0.6 0.8 --
Japan 0.6 1.7 1.4 --
Source: Eurostat (www.europa.eu.int); Instituto Nacional
(www.inegi.gob.mx).
U.S. BANKRUPTCY RATES
Number of bankruptcy petitions filed in federal courts
and % change from previous quarter
[GRAPHICS OMITTED]
Q4 02 395,129 (-1.5%)
Q1 03 412,968 (4.5%)
Q2 03 440,257 (6.6%)
Q3 03 412,989 (-6.2%)
Q4 03 393,348 (-4.8%)
Q1 04 397,006 (1.0%)
Source: Administrative Office of
the U.S. Courts
(www.uscourts.gov)
U.S. Business Bankruptcies, Year Ending 3/31
[GRAPHIC OMITTED]
2000 39,845
2001 39,992
2002 39,845
2003 37,548
2004 36,785
Source: Administrative Office of
the U.S. Courts (www.uscourts.gov)
U.S. INFLATION
U.S. Consumer Price Index-Urban % Cbange
Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May Jun.
0.2 0.5 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.6 0.3
Produce Price Index % Change
-0.2 0.6 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.8 -0.3
Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (www.bls.gov).
INTERNATIONAL UNEMPLOYMENT
1/04 2/04 3/04 4/04 5/04
U.S. 5.6 5.6 5.7 5.6 5.6
Canada 6.6 6.6 6.8 6.7 6.6
Japan 5,0 5.1 4.8 4.8 --
France 9.2 9.4 9.4 9.3 --
Germany 9.1 9.2 9.3 9.3 9.3
U.K. 4.8 4.8 4.8 -- --
U.S. INTEREST RATES
Q1 04 Q2 04 Q3 04 * Q4 04 *
Federal Funds 1.00 1.01 1.42 1.80
3 mo. T bill 0.92 1.08 1.44 1.77
6 mo. T bill 0.98 1.33 1.66 1.87
1 yr. T bill 1.22 1.78 2.12 2.22
2 yr. T note 1.69 2.46 2.69 2.78
10 yr. T note 4.02 4.60 4.65 4.72
Sources: Federal Reserve (www.frb.gov). * Forcast by
National City Corp (www.nationalcity.com).
INTERNATIONAL INTEREST RATES
1/04 2/04 2/04 4/04 5/04 6/04
Short-term rates
(3-mo. interbank rates or 3-mo. CDs or T bills)
U.S. 1.06 1.05 1.05 1.08 1.20 1.46
Canada 2.50 2.32 2.16 2.08 2,07 2.10
Mexico 5.11 5.63 6.21 5.96 7.08 7.26
Japan 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.02 0.02 --
Euro zone 2.09 2.07 2.03 2.05 2.09 2.11
U.K. 3.99 4.10 4.23 4.33 4.46 --
Long-term rates
(secondary market yields on long-term bonds)
U.S. 4.83 4.68 4.57 5.16 5.25 5.20
Canada 4.61 4.45 4.26 4.62 4.78 4.91
Japan 1.33 1.21 1.42 1.52 1.51 1.81
Euro zone 4.26 4.18 4.02 4.24 4.39 4.44
U.K. 4.79 4.81 4.70 4.95 5.10 --
Source: OECD (www.oecd.org)
U.S. TRADE
% change May 04 YTD compared
w/same period 2003
Exports 2.9% 13.7%
Merchandise 4.2% 13.9%
Services -0.2% 13.4%
Imports 0.4% 12.7%
Merchandise 4.4% 12.6%
Services 0.4% 13.1%
U.S./Canada: May YTD exports totaled $77.4
billion, up 8.7% from a year ago. Imports were
$103.0 billion, up 10.4%.
U.S./Mexico. May YTD exports totaled $44.5
billion, up 15.3% from a year ago. Imports were
$61.9 billion, up 10.1%.
U.S./Europe. May YTD exports totaled $70.8
billion, up 12.1% from a year ago. Imports were
$110.1 billion, up 12.1%,.
Source: International Trade Administration ...
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