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Ginnie Mae Prepayments Outpace Other Classes of MBS.

Mortgage Servicing News

| August 02, 2004 | Peters, Terry | COPYRIGHT 2004 SourceMedia, Inc. This material is published under license from the publisher through the Gale Group, Farmington Hills, Michigan.  All inquiries regarding rights should be directed to the Gale Group. (Hide copyright information)Copyright

Prepayment rates for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac mortgage-backed securities slowed significantly among 5.5%-6.5% coupons in June, while Ginnie Mae MBS speeds held steady or slowed only moderately.

According to the Bear Stearns Prepayment Commentary, the constant prepayment rates of the new 30-year Fannie Mae 5.5% coupon slowed from 22.3 CPR in May to 17.2 in the June reporting period, a slowdown of 23%.

The comparable figures for the new Fannie 6.0% coupon were 37.7 CPR in May and 29.4 CPR in June, a 22% drop, Bear Stearns analysts Dale Westhoff and Bruce Kramer reported.

The speeds recorded for comparable Freddie Mac MBS showed "slightly larger" declines through the 6.5% coupon. But this pattern did not hold for Ginnie Mae MBS.

"In contrast to conventional speeds that were down 20%-25% in the largest issues, [Ginnie Mae] prepayments for the June reporting period were flat to very modestly slower across the entire coupon stack - well above most expectations," the analysts said.

They attributed the disparities between Fannie/Freddie speeds and Ginnie speeds - which "have almost become the norm in recent years," the analysts said - to several factors.

The factors include the ability of many Ginnie borrowers to qualify for conventional financing, "more aggressive pricing and competition" for subprime loans, expansion by the government-sponsored enterprises into the alternative-A sector, and servicer buyouts, Mr. Westhoff and Mr. Kramer said.

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Source: HighBeam Research, Ginnie Mae Prepayments Outpace Other Classes of MBS.

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