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SEOUL, Jan 2 Asia Pulse - A slew of foreign investors are scurrying to raise their 2006 growth estimates for the South Korean economy, citing stronger than expected overseas demand and unlikely aggressive rate hikes, a state-run think tank said Monday.
Lehman Brothers, JP Morgan Chase & Co., and seven other foreign investors have given an average growth projection for Asia's fourth-largest economy of 4.7 per cent this year, up from the average 4.3 per cent projected in October, according to the Korea Center for International Finance (KCIF).
Their average growth projections are roughly in line with the 5 per cent growth rate expected by the South Korean government.
By investor, Lehman Brothers and Goldman Sachs estimated the economy to grow 6 per cent and 5.3 per cent, respectively, this year, while Merrill Lynch and Citigroup Inc. put their growth estimates at 5.1 per cent and 5 per cent.
Deutsche Bank and Morgan Stanley expect growth of 4.7 per cent and 4.4 per cent for the economy, respectively, while UBS projected a 3.9 per cent rise and ABN Amro a 3.6 per cent gain.
Exports, which account for about half of the economy, will likely continue to remain robust, supporting economic growth, and stable inflation is likely to discourage speedy rate hikes by the Bank of Korea, the country's central bank.
The foreign investors also said that private spending, which has remained in the doldrums over the past two years, will pick up down the road.
Source: HighBeam Research, FOREIGN INVESTORS RAISE GROWTH ESTIMATES FOR S. KOREAN ECONOMY.