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The Sporting News

| June 03, 2002 | Roberts, Brendan | COPYRIGHT 2002 Sporting News Publishing Co. This material is published under license from the publisher through the Gale Group, Farmington Hills, Michigan.  All inquiries regarding rights should be directed to the Gale Group. (Hide copyright information)Copyright

For those of you still salivating over the insertion of mega-prospect Mark Prior into the Cubs' rotation, I have two words: rookie pitcher--as in, don't overrate him.

Though rookie starters, especially power pitchers, can be every bit as dominant in a single start as veterans, they often are inconsistent. It takes time to learn the tendencies of each hitter, and few youngsters show pinpoint control. In his first full season, Greg Maddux was 6-14 with a 5.61 ERA. Randy Johnson was 7-13 with a 4.82 ERA and a 1.51 WHIP. The duo has a combined eight Cy Young Awards, but both players struggled as rookies.

While having these young pitchers certainly is a wise plan, be careful not to consider them among the elite yet.

Josh Beckett, Marlins. He's now roiling after a trip to the DL and five winless starts.

Josh Fogg, Pirates. He looks good now, but how long can his assortment of mediocre pitches tool big-league hitters?

Damian Moss, Braves. The tutelage of Leo Mazzone & Co. will help, but Moss' 31-26 strikeout-to-walk ratio eventually will bite him.

Mark Prior, Cubs. This hard thrower already has indicated he feels the weight of the Cubs' burdens on his 21-year-old shoulders.

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