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How To Get Out Of The Balkans Richard Betts, "The Lesser Evil: The Best Way To Leave the Balkans," in The National Interest (Summer 2001), 1112 Sixteenth Street N.W., Washington, D.C. 20036.
American forces have now been in Bosnia for six years and in Kosovo for two. But the occupation has done little to transform these regions, and sometime American forces will have to come home. What should be done to ensure some measure of stability? Columbia University scholar Betts offers three scenarios:
Do nothing. Our troops could stay in the Balkans indefinitely, but to what end? The occupation in itself isn't likely to promote democracy. And importing legions of civilians to teach the Serbs, Croats, and Muslims democratic culture, would be a "hubris-laden mission" with risks similar to Vietnam.
Impose a partition. Partitioning territories has a dismal record, as the continuing conflicts in Kashmir, Cyprus, and Palestine show. Moreover, the tortured frontier that would result in a divided Bosnia would be difficult to police or maintain. In ...