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Social Security Reform Is Gonna Happen.(Brief Article)(Column)

The American Enterprise

| October 01, 2001 | Glassman, James | COPYRIGHT 2001 The American Enterprise, a national magazine of politics, business and culture (TEAmag.com). This material is published under license from the publisher through the Gale Group, Farmington Hills, Michigan.  All inquiries regarding rights should be directed to the Gale Group. (Hide copyright information)Copyright

Some sort of Social Security reform that allows Americans to invest a portion of their payroll taxes in a personal account is now, I believe, inevitable; probably by the end of 2003. George W. Bush is serious about privatizing--or, more delicately, personalizing--Social Security, and so is former Senator Daniel Patrick Moynihan, the liberal icon who wants reform as his own legacy.

The logic is powerful. The Presidential commission headed by Moynihan says that the Social Security system is beset by a "crisis of confidence," engendered by demographics and the faulty structure that Franklin Roosevelt erected in an emergency nearly 70 years ago. The retirement portion of Social Security is an unfunded pension plan. The money to pay current retirees comes from taxes on current workers, not from money they put away during their employed years. This worked in 1940, when there were 42 workers for every retiree. But, thanks to longer lifespans, fewer children, earlier retirement, and other changes, there will soon be only two workers paying into Social Security for every retiree drawing checks out. That can't work.

Within about 15 years, annual payments will exceed annual payroll tax revenues. From where will the Treasury get the difference? There are only two sources: higher taxes or heavy borrowing. It's not a pretty picture.

"The system is broken," said the preliminary July 18 report of the commission. The right repair is not a system that depends on the vagaries of demographics and the whims of politicians but rather on the long-term savings of individual workers--the same way a sensible private pension plan works. The first step is to divert a portion of payroll taxes--perhaps a fifth of the money that employers and employees now send to Washington for the retirement portion of Social Security.

This would be money well invested. The average two-earner couple born in 2000, with low-to-medium wages, will earn just 1.9 percent annually at retirement as a result of contributions to Social Security. No pension manager in America could keep a job with those returns over a 35-year working lifetime. Americans of all stripes do much better in their private investments.

Opponents make two arguments against allowing Americans to put some of their payroll taxes in retirement accounts that they can own and pass on to their kids, churches, or charities. Both arguments are factually incorrect.

They claim that Social Security is not broken, ...

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