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Byline: BILL McGUIRE
Twenty-nine races have been run in the 2002 Winston Cup season; only seven remain. Yet just who will win the championship is hardly clearer than when the year began. As the series rolled out of Kansas City this past week and headed for Talladega, Jimmie Johnson held the points lead with 3824. But only 36 points separate Johnson from Tony Stewart in third, with the previous week's leader Mark Martin sandwiched between them in second, a mere 11 points back.
Then there's Jeff Gordon, Sterling Marlin, Rusty Wallace, Ryan Newman and Matt Kenseth, in that order. There are 193 points between them. Bill Elliott in ninth lies only 201 points behind Johnson, his championship hopes still very real. One title, nine drivers in the chase.
When the points system was designed back in 1975 (on the back of a napkin, according to NASCAR lore), it was tailored for tight points races. First place offers a maximum 185 points (175 for the win; five points for leading a lap and another five for leading the most laps) while 43rd pays 34 points, with five-, four- and three-point breaks down through the order and a potential swing of 151 points from first to last. Before Kansas, there were four drivers with a mathematical chance of leaving with the points lead. After Kansas, there are six. As the season's end draws near, the points battle is not stretching out, it's actually tightening up. There have been other years with close points battles-1992 and 1997 come to mind-but nothing quite like this. It's as if nobody can close the deal.
Marlin couldn't. For 25 races, from the season's second event at Rockingham where he won, until just a few weeks ago at Richmond where he crashed out early, Marlin held tight to the points lead, often by the slimmest of margins. While he and his Chip Ganassi Dodge team won at Darlington, they also stumbled at times, especially on the road courses (43rd at Sears Point and 30th at Watkins Glen). Yet while Marlin has since dropped to fifth, no one has been able to leap very far ...