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The Running of the Bulls.(United States economy)(Brief Article)

Newsweek International

| October 08, 2001 | Beith, Malcolm | COPYRIGHT 2001 Newsweek, Inc. All rights reserved. Any reuse, distribution or alteration without express written permission of Newsweek is prohibited. For permission: www.newsweek.com. This material is published under license from the publisher through the Gale Group, Farmington Hills, Michigan.  All inquiries regarding rights should be directed to the Gale Group. (Hide copyright information)Copyright

By most accounts, the United States was in a recession before Sept. 11. And the news seems only to get worse.

U.S. jobless claims have soared to 450,000 from 392,000 just two weeks ago--in part due to massive airline layoffs. It's the largest surge ever recorded since the Feds began tracking claims in 1968--and in sheer numbers the highest since 1992. Next comes another round of layoffs in industries from telecom to high tech and automaking.

Remember consumer spending, which Alan Greenspan & Co. assured us would sustain the U.S. economy? Consumer confidence plunged to 97.6 in September, down from 114 in August--the largest one-month drop since the gulf war in 1991 and a sure sign of deepening recession. The stock market has tanked since Sept. 11, too, with the exception of shares in companies with contracts to make biological-weapons vaccines. Hardly what one might call a silver lining.

The list goes on. Corporate earnings are expected to plummet. Industrial production fell about 0.8 percent in August--for the 11th consecutive month. Tax receipts appear to have fallen for the first time since 1983. And outside of the Social Security ...

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