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OPEC has repeatedly cut output targets in an attempt to match the seasonal call on its oil, "micromanaging the market" to prevent oil stocks from rising and consequently lowering prices, said Centre for Global Energy Studies.
The latest 1 million b/d production cut became effective this month. CGES said the new target should bring OPEC's output down to 25.8 million b/d in September--assuming 2.6 million b/d output from Iraq. CGES anticipates 500,000 b/d of "leakage".
The cut comes at a time when the need for OPEC oil is set to rise for seasonal reasons, even with weak underlying demand growth of 0.6% in 2001.
"As a result, …