Between Delhi and D.C.(International Edition)(India and the United States)

Since the Congress Party's huge win in India's elections was announced on May 16, pundits across the country and in the United States have predicted that the warming relations between Delhi and D.C. are now sure to grow even closer. After all, Congress has finally rid itself of the troublesome coalition partners that were holding it back; surely now it will press forward on the issues that matter most to Washington, such as strengthening the two countries' budding security partnership.

Yet this optimism overlooks some real dangers. Potential conflict looms on three fronts--Kashmir, nonproliferation and trade--and unless the Obama administration handles these issues with more dexterity than Washington has shown thus far, relations with a newly emboldened Indian government could actually get a lot more tense in the months ahead.

So far the signs aren't promising. The U.S. Congress recently announced plans to jump-start the Indian-Pakistani peace process by helping to resolve the Kashmir dispute. Washington's proposal? Sens. John Kerry and Richard Lugar, authors of a new bill providing economic and military assistance to Pakistan, want to push New Delhi to reduce its troop presence in Kashmir as a way of assuaging Islamabad's fears about India's intentions. Their plan, which has the tacit blessing of the Obama administration, may sound reasonable. After all, the United States wants Pakistan to pull troops off its eastern border and throw them into the fight against the Taliban in the west, and calming tensions with India seems like a perfect way to convince Islamabad to do just that. But things aren't so simple. For starters, while such a move might well comfort Pakistan, it would trigger no doubt unpleasant Indian memories of the Cold War, when Washington worked hard to strengthen Islamabad at New Delhi's expense. In addition, Indians are still angry about the devastating Pakistan-based terrorist attacks that hit Mumbai last November. Thus far, India has shown great restraint in not responding to the attacks militarily. But no government in New Delhi--especially one that has just received an overwhelming mandate from the Indian people--would take kindly to American pressure to go even further in making new concessions to India's dangerous and now highly unstable neighbor.

Then there's the nuclear question. Just last fall, Washington, by pushing the landmark U.S.-India nuclear deal, seemed to bless India's new status as an atomic-weapons state. But now the Obama administration has announced plans to revive the Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban ...