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It isn't easy for servicers to find bright spots in recent delinquency reports, but we think we've spotted one.
It's true that the Mortgage Bankers Association's most recent delinquency numbers at first seem like nothing but more bad news. Overdues and defaults continue to jump, and the subprime books of business are a catastrophe.
But here's what we noticed: a peculiar inversion in which some big states are showing more foreclosures than overdues. And, the country as a whole is trending that way.
We haven't seen this particular inversion before, and it seems counterintuitive that a state can have more loans in foreclosure than in late status. But what we think it means is that the foreclosure flood is more than halfway finished in those states, which would be good news.
Take the state of Florida. In the Sunshine State, more loans are in foreclosure (37.58%) than are overdue (22.61%). That must mean the foreclosure bust there is more than half over.
California is also inverted, with more loans in foreclosure ...
Source: HighBeam Research, One Bright Spot.(Editorial)