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Byline: Paul Muolo
Walking the halls at SourceMedia's recent Mortgage Servicing Conference in Dallas I struck up a conversation with a Realtor from California whose business had been put on hold because his specialty was foreclosure sales. He wasn't about to lay off any workers (he still had plenty of deals in the pipeline) but he was starting to get a bit antsy. He also raised a valid point, one I'm certain readers have been pondering for months: Why don't we just do away with all this consumer forbearance, foreclose on delinquent homeowners, and let the chips fall where they may?
If this happened, foreclosures would rise from their already-heightened pace, home values would fall even more and eventually we'd reach a bottom. Once a floor is established, then and only then would home values once again begin to rise. At least that's how he saw the situation.
Of course, for people who are gainfully employed it's easy to say those types of things. It's easy to say: "Tough luck. Go live with your parents." (If you have parents that are still living.)
These are unprecedented times we're living in. The idea of forbearance for homeowners reminds me of the early days of the S&L crisis, two decades ago when thrift executives were begging for capital forbearance, lobbying elected officials and regulators to go easy on their institutions, arguing that the tough times were temporary, and given time they would survive. Well, guess what? Those struggling S&L operators weren't given much slack and in time they were thrown on the scrap heap of dying depositories.
The idea of forbearance for consumers rubs some in the industry the wrong way, including that California Realtor I chatted with. But forbearance - or maybe I should say an attempt at forbearance - is what we're seeing now. Will it work - and here's an even bigger question: What ultimately will be the cost be to taxpayers and the industry at large?
Thanks to government studies, we already know that about half of all modified loans (mortgages ...
Source: HighBeam Research, Are Loan Modifications a Waste for Servicers?(Mortgage Scene)