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Ivan Pollard goes 'back to the future' to predict what he thinks is most likely to happen to media planning in 2009 and in the medium term.
Does 1993 seem a long time ago to you? Me too. But all the way back then I wrote a paper for the IPA entitled The Evolution Of Media Planning predicting forthcoming trends. Maybe my past performance would be an indicator of how seriously you should take this current piece.
It transpires that either I am the lesser-known sibling of Marty McFly or a direct descendant of Nostradamus. Going 'Back to the Future' was interesting. Here is what I said back then: 'The convergence of media, telecommunications, electronics and computing is gathering real momentum and the 'Digital Revolution' will change our lives forever ... We will all have the choice of what to watch, when to watch and how to watch .. Our TV won't be limited to reruns of Dad's Army ... it will be the most important tool in the house. We will use it to call our mothers, pay our gas bill, order the shopping and go on a virtual reality date with Meg Ryan.'
The idea of a date with Meg Ryan dates things a bit and the fact I believed it would be the TV, not the computer, that would be the access point to all this stuff was also a bit off. But remember, this was in the days before we all had a mobile phone.
But how did I think this would impact on media planning? Again, getting all historical on you: 'Technology will exist to make media planners redundant. Imagine a world where your TV set knows everything there is to know about you and is constantly beaming back information about your behaviours to Big Brother ... the computer will decide which of the 27 car ads it has ... will be sent to your house ... because that is the one you will be most interested in right now ... Media targeting will no longer exist and we will all be out of work or have to reinvent our jobs.'
Read 'Google and the web' for 'TV' and I wasn't that far off the mark. But what was that reinvention, what did I think the role of the media planner would become and why is that still relevant today?
'(Media) planners will be a new breed. Well versed in the skills of marketing and advertising they will mirror the role that account planners have in agencies but will focus on the communications plan rather than the creative process.'