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IN the first grim days after the Democratic blowout, three overlapping schools of thought emerged: No Republican could have won this year; McCain lost because he was the type of moderate who can never make the party's best case; and McCain lost because he was trying to appeal to the conservative base of the party rather than swing voters. There is no need to choose among these explanations: All are true. Each problem reinforced the others.
"Headwinds" was the Republican strategist's cliche of the year, and they were indeed fierce. Even if President Bush had been popular and the economy been good, there would have been ...