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Bubbling out: we need to plan for a world with less oil.(ENERGY)

National Review

| July 14, 2008 | Tucker, William | COPYRIGHT 2008 National Review, Inc. This material is published under license from the publisher through the Gale Group, Farmington Hills, Michigan.  All inquiries regarding rights should be directed to the Gale Group. (Hide copyright information)Copyright

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'THIS oil thing is just a bubble," Steve Forbes said in May. "The price of oil peaked in 1980 and then went down to almost $12 a barrel by 1986. These things run in cycles. New supplies will come forth, consumers will cut back, and pretty soon the price will come down again."

That's the optimistic view of the situation--and some close observers agree. Time reports that Richard Rainwater, the investor who rose to No. 91 on the Forbes 400 by betting on oil stocks, has dumped his holdings. "I just felt that America was not ready for $4 gas," he said.

The other perspective--the gloomier one--is that we have reached the time ...

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