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Dollar down.(THE ECONOMY)(Brief article)

National Review

| December 03, 2007 | COPYRIGHT 2007 National Review, Inc. This material is published under license from the publisher through the Gale Group, Farmington Hills, Michigan.  All inquiries regarding rights should be directed to the Gale Group. (Hide copyright information)Copyright

BAD things happen when the Fed overreacts to negative market psychology. The dollar's continuing slide is a case in point.

Markets have been in a tizzy since the subprime fiasco began, even though the housing market is a tiny fraction of the overall economy. While credit markets have had violent hiccups, the economy has nonetheless kept growing smartly. GDP growth was a whopping 3.9 percent in the third quarter. Yet the Fed cut the federal-funds rate 0.75 percent. The rest of the world saw this capitulation to the market's nervous Nellies as inflationary, and became less willing to hold dollars. If the Fed had acted correctly, responding to the state of the economy rather than to a state of mind, the dollar would be stronger today, and closer to its intrinsic value.

The Fed's inappropriate rate cut makes U.S. assets less attractive. But prices adjust in a free economy. Now that the dollar is lower, U.S. products will become more competitive. This will drive up exports and profits as well as the ...

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