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Risk of freefalling shares if company takeover bid fails
by Robert Ashton
EMI is expected to be in the hands of Terra Firma today (Monday) or its shares will be in freefall and the group a possible target for Warner Music again.
Terra Firma's 265p-per-share deal for the music group was hanging in the balance at the end of last week with the private equity firm sweating over whether it could achieve the 90% level of acceptances - by the 4pm deadline last Friday if dealt electronically or 1pm yesterday (Sunday) - necessary for the deal to go through.
If the deal goes through, EMI will be taken private and the next round of questions will be asked about selling off the recorded music group and the future of EMI Group chief executive Eric Nicoli.
If the deal collapses it will be damaging for all sides, concedes one insider. "It will be pretty damaging for both Citigroup and Terra Firma, but awful for EMI. They have had many takeover attempts. But everyone wants the deal to go through."
Terra Firma would not reveal the level of shareholder support it had achieved by last Thursday, although analysts were not confident the deal had even a 50/50 chance of success. Terra Firma's acquisition vehicle Maltby had achieved just 26.19% acceptances from EMI shareholders the week before, up to the further deadline extension. This represented about 212m shares.