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In its initial stages, the Baghdad troop surge has shown promise. Shiite thug-cleric Moqtada al-Sadr has apparently fled to Iran, and he has ordered his militia not to fight us. We have been able to pick off some of his top leaders, and the Shiites' appalling ethnic-cleansing campaign against the Sunnis in Baghdad has lost momentum. It has been a commonplace for opponents of the surge to say that it is hopeless because we are sending more troops into a civil war--the assumption being that civil wars can never be checked from outside. But the experience of the ...