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The victory of Republican Brian Bilbray in a special election to fill an empty House seat representing San Diego was by no means inevitable. The seat was left vacant following the Duke Cunningham bribery scandal; Bilbray is a former congressman who became a lobbyist (not a popular way to make a living); Democratic nominee Francine Busby ran an energetic and well-funded campaign; and national polls continue to suggest that Democrats will fare well this fall. Yet Busby attracted only 45 percent of the vote--not much better than John Kerry did in 2004, when he carried 44 percent of ...