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Before the fall.(POLITICS)

National Review

| May 08, 2006 | COPYRIGHT 2006 National Review, Inc. This material is published under license from the publisher through the Gale Group, Farmington Hills, Michigan.  All inquiries regarding rights should be directed to the Gale Group. (Hide copyright information)Copyright

REPUBLICANS on Capitol Hill seem more interested in complaining about the Bush administration than in winning, or at least limiting their losses in, the midterm elections. The White House is arrogant; it is out of touch; it does not face the same electoral pressures we do: We have heard it all before, and there is truth in each complaint. But perhaps the recriminations can wait until after the elections?

Congress is not going to be in session for many more days this year. There is not much time for congressional Republicans to promote popular legislation as a way of improving their standing--even if one assumed, contrary to fact, that they could agree on what legislation that would be. Their fate is therefore tied to the president's. If the election is held with Bush holding a 35 percent approval rating, they will lose the House. If Bush rises to 45 percent by the fall, they will do fine.

Moreover, Bush is the only Republican official with an interest in the health of the party nationally. Some presidential contenders can calculate that harm to the party will make them look better cast in the role of a savior. Most congressmen know that rain or shine, they will be reelected (although whether they will be reelected to the majority or a minority is an open question). If Republicans are going to recover, Bush is going to have to lead them.

And they are going to have to do a better job of following. That does not mean that Republicans should mute their criticisms of Bush when they honestly think he is mistaken. It does mean that they should not be looking for ways to distance themselves from him. Congressmen should try to spread the good economic news in their districts before carping at Bush's failure to do the same thing nationally. When there is progress in Iraq, or when bad news is being exaggerated, they have to say so instead of expecting the White House to clear up the record. (American casualties have been falling for months. If Americans don't hear that from their congressmen, they're certainly not going to ...

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Source: HighBeam Research, Before the fall.(POLITICS)

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