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A brutal constant.(books, arts & manners)(Another Bloody Century: Future Warfare)(Book review)

National Review

| April 10, 2006 | Owens, Mackubin Thomas | COPYRIGHT 2006 National Review, Inc. This material is published under license from the publisher through the Gale Group, Farmington Hills, Michigan.  All inquiries regarding rights should be directed to the Gale Group. (Hide copyright information)Copyright

Another Bloody Century: Future Warfare, by Colin S. Gray (Cassell, 440 pp., $35.02)

THE DEFENSE DEPARTMENT has just issued its third Quadrennial Defense Review (QDR), a congressionally mandated document laying out the assumptions that presumably will guide the planners as they develop strategy and allocate scarce defense resources. The QDR and the critiques of it reveal the difficulty Pentagon officials have: They must make hard decisions today based on assumptions about a highly uncertain future.

The record is not a good one: American defense planners have been flummoxed by a strategic surprise on the average of once a decade. The late British field ...

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