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Growth clouded by turmoil: Stocks gain 0.57% on hopes of settlement.

Bangkok Post (Bangkok, Thailand)

| March 02, 2006 | COPYRIGHT 2006 Bangkok Post. This material is published under license from the publisher through the Gale Group, Farmington Hills, Michigan.  All inquiries regarding rights should be directed to the Gale Group. (Hide copyright information)Copyright

Mar. 2--Economic growth could decline by over a full percentage point to 3.5 percent this year if political turmoil remains unresolved, according to a research centre of the University of the Thai Chamber of Commerce.

Thanavath Phonvichai, director of the university's Centre for Economics and Business Forecasting, said if current anti-government protests turned violent and an unconstitutional regime took power, growth could fall to just 3.5 percent due to investor flight and declines in export growth from negative reactions overseas.

Tourism would also be heavily affected by the prospect of violent protests, he said, potentially resulting in the current-account deficit ballooning to over $5 billion.

General elections are tentatively scheduled for ...

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