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Monetary Policy: You've got to hand it to this economy:Despite absorbing one body blow after another -- Hurricane Katrina is only the most recent -- it continues to power its way forward. But we shouldn't be complacent.
The toll that Katrina takes will be staggering. Local officials already put deaths in the thousands, and insurers' first-blush estimate on property damage is $26 billion. But that's almost certain to rise as more details come in.
Still, Katrina comes at a strange time for the economy. It has sustained a number of recent hits -- soaring energy costs, rising interest rates, concerns over global terrorism, slowing auto and home sales, weak gains in money supply -- yet it keeps chugging along.
That was apparent Wednesday, when the Commerce Department reported that GDP in the second quarter expanded at a yearly rate of 3.3% -- respectable, if not spectacular, given the many head winds.
Two factors account for the resiliency: One is President Bush's tax cuts, which added nearly $2 trillion in stimulus after the market meltdown that began in 2000 and the recession that followed in 2001. In retrospect, the cuts seem wiser than ever.
The other is the Fed's decision, after erring in raising interest rates in 1999 and 2000, to slash rates to 40-year lows.
No economy, however, can take a repeated pummeling without some fallout. And it's worth noting that much of the damage inflicted over the past year has been done by things -- such as higher rates and energy prices -- that typically lead the economy by a year or more.