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Claims - TSR increases 2005 Atlantic storm forecast by 30%.
(From Reinsurance)
Tropical Storm Risk (TSR), has increased its forecast for Atlantic basin hurricane activity in 2005 by a further 30%. Based on current and projected climate signals, TSR's updated forecast release predicts Atlantic basin activity to be record-breaking at 150% above-average and US landfalling tropical cyclone activity to be 90% above-average.
The prediction includes: a 100% (certain) probability of an above-normal Atlantic hurricane season; 22 tropical storms for the Atlantic basin as a whole, with 11 of these being hurricanes and seven intense hurricanes; an 85% (high) probability of an above-normal US landfalling hurricane activity, a 15% likelihood of a near-normal season and a 0% chance of a below-normal season; seven tropical storm strikes on the US, of which three will be hurricanes; and three tropical storm hits, including two hurricanes on the Caribbean islands the Lesser Antilles.
The predicted seasonal totals include the intense activity that occurred during June and July (seven tropical storms and two intense hurricanes; three US striking tropical storms, of which one (Dennis) was a hurricane).
If verified, the total of 22 tropical storms will be the highest ever recorded in a North Atlantic season.
TSR's two ...
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